Single-Set Era
basket vs S&P 500 Total Return
Alpha vs S&P 500
0
Iconic chase Wrenn and Six
Wrenn and Six · Modern Horizons · 2019
Total invested at retail
$2,160.00
Sum of MSRPs, one box per product as released
Basket value today
$3,594.66
+66.4% since release
S&P 500 equivalent (DCA)
$5,222.53
+141.8% same dollars, same dates
Alpha vs S&P 500
-75.4 pp
Basket CAGR 6.74% vs SPXTR 11.98%
8-year horizon
Cumulative portfolio value
Each dot marks a product's release date entering the basket.- Single-Set Era basket
- S&P 500 (TR) DCA equivalent
Top grading plays in this era
Best risk-adjusted "buy raw, grade, flip" opportunities. Methodology →Top cards in this era
Highest-comp cards across this era's sets.
Mox Opal
Double Masters · #362
$287

Mox Opal
Double Masters · #275
$219

Force of Will
Double Masters · #340
$215

Chrome Mox
Double Masters · #240
$157

Chrome Mox
Double Masters · #358
$145

Ancient Tomb
Ultimate Masters · #236
$131

Liliana, Dreadhorde General
War of the Spark · #97★
$110

Mana Vault
Ultimate Masters · #229
$102
Basket composition
Where Single-Set Era's $3,595 basket value sits today.- Ultimate Masters Draft Booster Box $452.50 13%
- Modern Horizons 2 Draft Booster Box $334.95 9%
- Commander Legends Draft Booster Box $239.45 7%
- Modern Horizons Draft Booster Box $230.51 6%
- Kaldheim Draft Booster Box $219.99 6%
- Other tracked products 13 additional sealed items $2,117 59%
Concentration shows where the era's investment risk sits. A heavy weighting in 1–2 products means single-card outcomes drive the basket more than diversification.
Compare to other eras
Quick peer reads against same-game neighbors plus a cross-game peer.- Single-Set Era alpha -75.4 ppStandard Acceleration Era alpha -112.9 ppCAGR delta -2.2 pp
Single-Set Era leads by 38 pp of alpha over Standard Acceleration Era.
See full Single-Set Era vs Standard Acceleration Era → - Single-Set Era alpha -75.4 ppUniverses Beyond Era alpha +38.8 ppCAGR delta -12.1 pp
Universes Beyond Era leads by 114 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs Universes Beyond Era → - Single-Set Era alpha -75.4 ppReserved List Era alpha +1955.6 ppCAGR delta -5.7 pp
Reserved List Era leads by 2031 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs Reserved List Era → - Pokémon WOTC EraSingle-Set Era alpha -75.4 ppWOTC Era alpha +34276.2 ppCAGR delta -17.2 pp
WOTC Era leads by 34352 pp of alpha — Single-Set Era trails on this peer read.
See full Single-Set Era vs WOTC Era →
Sealed products in Single-Set Era
Box-by-box performance. Sorted by release. Click any row for the full vs-S&P 500 comparison.| Product | Released | MSRP | Spot | Return | SPXTR | Alpha | CAGR | 12-mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Jul 2018 | $120.00 | $199.15 | +66.0% | +190.7% | -124.8 pp | 6.7% | |
| | Jul 2018 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2018 | $120.00 | $126.00 | +5.0% | +200.5% | -195.5 pp | 0.7% | |
| | Oct 2018 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Dec 2018 | $120.00 | $452.50 | +277.1% | +223.7% | +53.3 pp | 19.6% | |
| | Jan 2019 | $120.00 | $142.94 | +19.1% | +199.7% | -180.6 pp | 2.4% | |
| | Jan 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | May 2019 | $120.00 | $147.92 | +23.3% | +192.4% | -169.1 pp | 3.0% | |
| | May 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jun 2019 | $120.00 | $230.51 | +92.1% | +173.1% | -81.0 pp | 9.9% | |
| | Jun 2019 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2019 | $120.00 | $142.71 | +18.9% | +169.2% | -150.3 pp | 2.6% | |
| | Jul 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2019 | $120.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Oct 2019 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jan 2020 | $120.00 | $160.93 | +34.1% | +146.3% | -112.2 pp | 4.8% | |
| | Jan 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Apr 2020 | $120.00 | $195.65 | +63.0% | +171.4% | -108.4 pp | 8.4% | |
| | Apr 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2020 | $120.00 | $164.99 | +37.5% | +140.5% | -103.0 pp | 5.6% | |
| | Jul 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Aug 2020 | $120.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Aug 2020 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Sep 2020 | $120.00 | $150.00 | +25.0% | +133.2% | -108.2 pp | 4.1% | |
| | Sep 2020 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Nov 2020 | $120.00 | $239.45 | +99.5% | +116.0% | -16.4 pp | 13.5% | |
| | Feb 2021 | $120.00 | $219.99 | +83.3% | +104.4% | -21.1 pp | 12.3% | |
| | Feb 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Apr 2021 | $120.00 | $206.10 | +71.8% | +85.9% | -14.2 pp | 11.4% | |
| | Apr 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jun 2021 | $120.00 | $334.95 | +179.1% | +80.4% | +98.7 pp | 23.4% | |
| | Jun 2021 | $280.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Jul 2021 | $120.00 | $199.99 | +66.7% | +76.3% | -9.6 pp | 11.3% | |
| | Jul 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Sep 2021 | $120.00 | $119.99 | -0.0% | +79.4% | -79.4 pp | 0.0% | |
| | Sep 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| | Nov 2021 | $120.00 | $160.89 | +34.1% | +68.8% | -34.7 pp | 6.8% | |
| | Nov 2021 | $45.00 | — | — | — | — | — |