Dashboard / Plays / Sun & Moon Era / Charizard-GX · BGS

Charizard-GX Burning Shadows #20 card image
79 PLAY Pokémon Sun & Moon Era

Charizard-GX

Burning Shadows · #20 · BGS Standard tier

Raw $25.00
Net profit +$46
ROI +185%
Not currently eligible — net profit below the $50 floor. The data is here for transparency — the math doesn't currently make this a play.

Per-grade probability layout pending verified data. Current grade probabilities are seeded — until they're sourced from a real pop report (GemRate / PSA Public API), we don't ship them. For per-scenario math (sell raw / grade & sell N9 / grade & sell N10) on this card, see the optimizer page.

Compare graders

Same card, other graders. Each link opens that grader's full breakdown.

Pop velocity

Total population 720
Grade 10 count 160
30-day Δ +2 (+1.3%)

Analysis

Charizard-GX sits in Burning Shadows, part of the Sun & Moon Era era on Cardboard Assets. Raw spot is $25.00 per the most recent PriceCharting loose comp, last refreshed May 7, 2026.

I'm scoring this a 79/100 — PLAY. The math: $152 expected value at BGS Standard tier, less raw cost $25, less $50 grading fee, less $10 return shipping, less $20 eBay fee = +$46 net per copy. ROI works out to 185% on the raw cost basis.

BGS Standard tier turnaround runs about 20 days. Annualized for capital velocity, that's roughly +3377% APR — useful framing if you're thinking about this as a capital allocation, not a one-shot trade.

Pop velocity is muted (1.3% in 30d), which I read as a positive signal — the gem-rate denominator isn't ballooning, so existing PSA 10 comps should hold.

Sourcing raw: this is a sub-$100 card, so eBay BIN under your raw target ($25.00) is the play. Look for "Near Mint" listings with sharp corners and centered art. Skip anything described as "Played" or "Light Play" unless the price is below the below-9 comp of $70.

Risk to size: grading is one-way. Grading fees aren't refundable, the round-trip eats 20 days of capital, and the comp data lags real-time market shifts. For comparable plays in the same era, look at Charizard-GX and Charizard-GX. Numbers above pull from PSA POP Report, recent eBay sold listings, and PriceCharting comps as of 2026-05-04.

Comparable plays in this era

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